5 Favorites, Sleepers To Watch For Sunday’s TicketGuardian 500 (3:30 p.m. ET/FOX/MRN/SiriusXM

This weekend’s Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series race is a tough one to bet. The favorites have too good of odds and are shining. But, some of the sleepers are quick too and have longer odds due to how good Kyle Busch and Kevin Harvick have listed on them.

So, who are the ones to beat and also the quiet ones to watch.

Favorites – 

Kyle Busch (+300) 

He finished second and first respectively at Phoenix last year. Busch, has six top four finishes in his last seven Phoenix starts. He has three top six finishes in as many tries this season. He was fifth, fifth and fourth respectively in practice on single car runs and first and sixth on 10 lap averages. He rolls off fourth.

Kevin Harvick (+300) 

You can’t overlook him either. He has seven wins and two runner-ups in his last 14 Phoenix starts. Harvick, has 11 straight top six finishes at Phoenix and has won four of the last five spring races. He finished fourth in each of the last two weeks of the season. Harvick, was also second in each of the two sessions on the 10 lap average chart and was sixth and third in practice on Saturday on single lap runs.

Brad Keselowski (+700)

He only has two top five finishes at Phoenix since 2015 but one was a runner-up last Fall. Keselowski, has been fast this weekend too though. He was second, third and sixth respectively in practice and sixth and fifth respectively on the 10 lap averages chart. He rolls off fifth as well. For a guy with two straight top two finishes on the season, you have to throw some money his way.

Joey Logano (+800)

He hasn’t finished in the top 10 in each of his last four Phoenix starts, but Logano was fastest in final practice on single lap runs as well as the 10 lap average. He won last week too.

Ryan Blaney (+4000) 

Penske looks good this weekend. They’ve won the past two weeks and would like to put their third driver in victory lane. He qualified on the pole and was first, second and second respectively in practice this weekend. Despite zero top five finishes in his career at Phoenix, he’s been too good to overlook.


Chase Elliott (+1100)

He qualified second and has two top three finishes in his last three Phoenix starts overall.

Aric Almirola (+2500)

He qualified 13th and has three straight top 10 finishes at Phoenix. Almirola, also has two straight top eight finishes on the season and was 12th and third respectively on Saturday on the 10 lap averages chart.

Erik Jones (+2500)

He has three top 10 finishes in his last four Phoenix starts and was 10th in qualifying. Why not?

Kyle Larson (+2500)

He barley missed the time in qualifying but was third, fourth and 21st in practice as well as third on the 10 lap average chart. Larson, has three top three finishes in his last five Phoenix starts too.

Kurt Busch (+3000)

Busch, has six top 10 finishes in his last nine Phoenix starts. He was fourth and eighth respectively on the 10 lap average chart on Saturday as well as 10th and eighth on single lap runs. Larson’s CGR teammate enters Sunday with two consecutive top five finishes on the season.

Alex Bowman (+5000)

He nearly won the fall race in 2016. He qualified sixth for this year’s race. He was seventh, ninth and 13th on single lap runs in practice as well as 13th and 10th on the 10 lap average chart.

William Byron (+10000)

He will start seventh after scoring two top 12 finishes in his first two Phoenix starts on the Cup side last year. On the NXS side, he was fourth and first respectively.

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