At one point in the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series season, Kyle Busch and Joey Logano looked like the clear cut favorites to win this year’s championship. Heading into the late April race at the Talladega Superspeedway, Busch had three wins, six top five finishes and a top 10 in literally every race run in 2019.
Logano, had just one victory but five top five finishes and six top 10’s. There were the elite group of the field.
Then, three other drivers heated up. Martin Truex Jr., Brad Keselowski and Chase Elliott combined to win six of the next eight races. The only two that they didn’t win though, Busch and Logano did.
Despite that, the aforementioned trio looked like they had closed the gap with Busch and Logano. But, over the last few weeks, it looks like the title will go through Busch or Logano again.
Heading into this weekend’s race in New Hampshire, Busch has five top five finishes in his last seven starts on the season. Logano, has five top seven finishes in the same seven races.
If not for a late race caution on Saturday night in Kentucky, they would have finished 1-2.
Plus, just look at the stats for the other three as well as Kevin Harvick too.
Elliott’s last five finishes are – 20th, 37th, 11th, 35th and 15th respectively. No longer does he look like a legitimate threat anymore. What about Keselowski? He was a non factor at the Kentucky Speedway, a track that he usually is a favorite at, and finished 20th. A week earlier, he finished 39th in Daytona. Three of his last four starts have seen him finish 18th or worse.
Same for Truex. He entered Kentucky last weekend having led over 300 laps and won all four stages over the last two years there. He was a non factor all race and finished 19th for his third straight finish outside of the top five.
What about Kevin Harvick. He hasn’t won in the last 21 races. He head to New Hampshire though as the defending race winner. Unfortunately, I don’t think he has it in him right now to go back-to-back. Harvick, has four top five finishes in his last six New Hampshire starts, but he hasn’t had a top five on the season since Dover in early May.
Yes, Harvick may be on a 21 race winless streak, but he’s also on an eighth race streak without a single top five finish. He hasn’t scored a finish better than 14th in his last three starts (14th, 29th, 22nd). Four of his last six results have been 14th or worse.
In New Hampshire, Busch has nine top 10 finishes in his last 11 starts including seven of which in the top three. Logano, should be a threat too.
Where this battle is key is, the regular season champion gets an additional 15 playoff points. Only 11 points separate Logano and Busch for that top spot in the points standings.