Penske, JGR Likely Favorites For Sunday’s Foxwoods Resort Casino 301

Joe Gibbs Racing has won this race in three of the last four years. They’ve actually been really good at New Hampshire lately too. So, can they get back in victory lane this weekend?

JGR won 10 of the first 16 races on the year.

Team Penske will be contenders too. You’d think you can trust Penske too. They’ve won five times in 2019 too. But, between Penske and JGR, they’ve struggled recently. JGR is 0-for-3 since winning in Sonoma while Penske hasn’t won since Michigan last month.

In New Hampshire though, Denny Hamlin has seven straight top 15 finishes but only three top 10’s. He finished 13th last year. On the season, Hamlin has just two top five finishes in his last 10 starts on the year. He crashed in practice on Friday and starts in the rear on Sunday. He was 10th in practice on Saturday morning but seventh on the 10 lap averages.

Kyle Busch qualifying his No. 18 Toyota on Friday at the New Hampshire Motor Speedway


Kyle Busch would be a logical favorite too. Busch, has nine top 10 finishes in his last 11 NHMS starts, seven of which in the top three. He also has two wins and four runner-up finishes as well. But, he’s somewhat slumping on the season too. In his first nine races to 2019, Busch had six top three results and nine top 10’s. Over his last 10, he only has five top fives and seven top 10’s. He’s finished outside the top 10 in two of the last three weeks too. This could be the weekend he comes out of that though. He was in the top four of every session in every metric this weekend and starts second.

What about Martin Truex Jr? He’s had a roller coaster career in NHMS. Truex, had five top 10 finishes in his first seven tries in the Granite State only to follow that up with two in his next 13. But, over his last six, he’s had five top 10’s including his last four finishes being 7th, 3rd, 5th and 4th respectively. He will roll off sixth on Sunday after being fourth on the 10 lap average chart in race practice on Saturday.

Erik Jones only has one top 10 finish of his career in New Hampshire but does have six top eight finishes in his last nine starts on the year. He was quickest in every metric on Saturday morning and will start fourth on Sunday.

JGR has three of the top six starting spots and I think will shine on Sunday.

Brad Keselowski has three top six finishes in his last six starts on the season to go along with 10 top 10 finishes in his last 14 NHMS starts. But, he finished 32nd last year and ninth in 2017. He’s been strong so far though. He will start on the pole and was second on short run speed on Saturday and fifth on the 10 lap average.

Joey Logano has zero top five finishes in his last four NHMS starts but does have two straight top 10’s. The current points leader had two finishes of 23rd or worse in his last four tries in 2019. He was 10th and sixth in practice and rolls off eighth.

That leaves Ryan Blaney who has never scored a top five finish in New Hampshire and has just one top five since Bristol (13 races). But, he does have three top 10 finishes in his last five starts on the year and two straight at NHMS. He also was in the top five of every session this weekend including rolling off fifth.

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