INDIANAPOLIS – Saturday’s IndyCar Grand Prix (3 p.m. ET/NBC/IndyCar Radio Network) may be a tough race to figure out. See, it should be easy to pencil in that either Simon Pagenaud or Will Power will win the 85 Lap NTT IndyCar Series race. After all, they’ve combined to win this race in all five years of its existence.
Plus, Team Penske has won in each of the last four years of it and should make it five in-a-row.
But, parity has never been higher in IndyCar right now. We’ve had four different race winners from four different teams this season. Since last August, only one driver has won more than once.
With that being said, who wins Saturday’s race? Here are the top betting lines.
Alexander Rossi (+400)
While Andretti Autosport has typically struggled in this race, Rossi has gotten better and better each yet. He went from 10th in 2016 to eighth in 2017 to fifth last year. The Andretti driver also has three top five finishes in four tries this season and 11 straight top 10 finishes dating back to last year.
Will Power (+450)
Despite some bad luck on track this season, you can’t leave Power off this list. He’s won this race in three of the last four years in dominating fashion. He led 65 laps in a win in 2015 and 61 and 56 respectively in his wins the last two years. Also, Power has four top five starting spots in this race including three poles.
Scott Dixon (+500)
Dixon, has three podiums in four tries this year and while has hasn’t won a race since last July in Toronto, he does have six top three finishes in his last eight starts overall. He also has 16 top 10 finishes in his last 18 tries with 15 of those being results in the top five. That’s why he’s always tough to beat because even if he doesn’t win, he’s around the top five. In this race, he’s finished in the top 10 the last four years including two straight runner-up finishes to Power.
Helio Castroneves (+800)
The popular Brazilian hasn’t ran a race yet this season, but he’s just been so good in this race, he’s hard to overlook. Castroneves, has never finished worse than sixth in all five tries on the 2.39-mile road course including three top fives and two podiums.
Simon Pagenaud (+1200)
Pagenaud hinted at Long Beach that he may have something good for Indy. The Frenchman made the Fast Six on the streets of Long Beach and used that to score his third top 10 result in four tries this season. In this race, he’s won twice and finished in the top eight in two of the other three tries.
Takuma Sato (+1400)
He’s already won a race in 2019 and has won two of the last four races on natural road courses. In this race, Sato has three top 10 finishes as well to go along with three straight top 10 finishes on the year.
Graham Rahal (+1600)
If he could qualify better in this race, then watch out. Rahal has never started better than 12th and here he has four top 10 finishes including a runner-up in 2015. His hard charging mentality has turned the heads of his competitors as they’ve all said that if he started closer to the front, then it’s game over.
Well, Rahal has qualified a lot better in 2019 and even has two fourth place finishes on the year. This could be his weekend.
Sebastien Bourdais (+1600)
The Frenchman has finished fourth in three of his five tries in this race. He’s also started in the top four Rows in all five starts too. On the season, Bourdais has two top five results in four tries as well. This is the definition of a sleeper.
James Hinchcliffe (+2500)
If he could have luck go his way in qualifying, then he can inch closer to a win. Hinchcliffe, has three top 10 finishes in four tries in 2019. The only reason he’s not four-for-four is because of a run-in with Felix Rosenqvist late in the race at COTA.
In this race at Indy, Hinchcliffe has started in the top 10 for three straight years with two of which being in Row 2. He finished on the podium in 2016 and was seventh last year.
Felix Rosenqvist (+3300)
The Swedish rookie has three top 10 finishes in four tries in 2019 and has raced on this road course twice before, both coming in Indy Lights in 2016 to where he finished in the top six in both tries. He’s a sleeper to watch.
Colton Herta (+3300)
He’s never ran an IndyCar at Indy before but he does have past success in Indy Lights here. He swept all three races in 2018, two on the road course and one on the oval for three straight wins. On the season, he was eighth in St. Pete and won in COTA. He’s had bad luck lately but that easily could change.
Spencer Pigot (+15000)
While Pigot has failed to score a top 10 finish in 2019 so far, he does have two 11th place results. Both came in the first two races of the year. Last year, Pigot was eighth in both practice sessions at Indy and qualified ninth. Unfortunately, he went airborne on the opening lap and only finished 15th. He did come home ninth in 2017 and 11th as a rookie in 2016.
Josef Newgarden (+400)
Newgarden hasn’t finished worse than fourth yet. In fact, he has three top two finishes in four tries. If you go back to his win in Road America last June, he has 12 consecutive top 10 finishes. That’s a tough driver to beat. But, he never has scored a top 10 finish in this race before. That’s why he’s a tough one to bet this weekend.
Ryan Hunter-Reay (+1000)
If Hunter-Reay can get any luck, then he will be strong. Going back to last season, Hunter-Reay has five top 10 finishes in seven tries including four of those being in the top five itself. But, bad luck struck him last year in his engine going sour. He limped home to a 18th place finish. The year before though, he put his car on the podium with a third place result. He was also runner-up to Pagenaud in the inaugural race in 2014.
He’s either feast or famine in this race.
Max Chilton (+25000)
Chilton finished seventh in 2017 and while his stats in 2019 haven’t been ideal, his No. 59 Chevrolet could still contend. They were fast last year at Indy.
Pato O’Ward (+8000)
The Mexican driver has turned a lot of heads this year with an eighth place finish in his series debut this year at COTA. He then finished 12th in the last race on the streets of Long Beach.
On the IMS road course, O’Ward has made seven career starts with scoring two wins (both in 2016 in Pro Mazda) and a top 10 in every race. His No. 31 Chevrolet could certainly vie for a win on Saturday.
Tony Kanaan (+6600)
This isn’t a week to take TK. He has two career top 10 finishes in this race but his best result is seventh in 2015. His last three finishes in this race have been 25th, 20th and 14th respectively. On the season, Kanaan has finished 15th, 12th, 18th and 19th respectively.
Marco Andretti (+6600)
I’m not sold on his chances yet. Andretti, has never started or finished in the top 10 in this race before. He does have four top 14 finishes to start 2019 off with, but only one of those was in the top 10 (6th at COTA).
Zach Veach (+8000)
Nothing against him here, but Veach has had that proverbial sophomore slump in 2019. He’s yet to finish in the top 10 in four tries and was 23rd in this race a year ago.
Matheus Leist (+10000)
This has been a rough season for the entire Foyt camp including Leist. He finished 21st in this race last year and has finishes of 22nd, 17th, 20th and 15th respectively this year.
Ed Jones (+15000)
Jordan King took this to a solid start in last year’s race weekend, but he crashed on the opening lap. Jones, finished 19th and 22nd respectively in two career tries himself. On the year, Jones has finished 21st, 14th, 19th and 16th respectively.